The Route of the Vote

13/05/2015. Javier Zarzalejos es secretario general de la Fundación FAES. The headline has been reproduced almost literally by practically all media: ‘The PP would win the elections but it would need Citizens to rule. ‘Some–perhaps many–agonizing Popular Party voters will have breathed a sigh of relief after the release of the polls. ‘Ultimately,’ they may think, ‘the composition can change a little but the majority will be the same’. If that's what they believe, they should qualify their confidence with a sensible dose of caution. 

Elections in the UK: Four Main Actors for a Crucial Election

17/04/2015. Alfredo Crespo Alcázar es autor del libro 'Cameron. Tras la senda de Churchill y Thatcher'. The UK is to hold its general elections on May 7 and the uncertainty about who will be the final winner has become the most prominent feature in the weeks of the campaign. Actors destined to play but a marginal role on the British political scenario have gained prominence, such as the United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP) and the Scottish National Party (SNP). Both parties seek to decant the sign of the Government through a series of agreements towards which both the Conservative Party and the Labour Party have reacted with deliberate indifference. 

Obama Versus Khamenei: Who to Believe?

15/04/2015. Rafael L. Bardají. Director de Política Internacional de la Fundación. On April 2, negotiators from the five permanent members of the Security Council of the UN, plus Germany and the EU representative on the one hand, and the Iranians on the other, finally reached a framework agreement on which to build a final agreement on the Iranian nuclear program. The White House rushed to announce the benefits of this framework agreement, while the Iranian leadership did the same.

Lincoln and the Significance of the American Civil War

14/04/2015. Martín Alonso es autor de 'Ahora y para siempre libres. Abraham Lincoln y la Causa de la Unión'. This April marks the 150th anniversary of the end of the American Civil War and of the assassination of Abraham Lincoln (by a twist of fate, on Palm Sunday and Good Friday of that year). Lincoln, the first president of the Republican Party, created four years earlier to oppose the expansion of slavery, came into office on March 4, 1861, after the secession, a few months before, of seven southern states from the Union. Four more would do the same in the following weeks. Lincoln was a classical liberal who understood that the moral values stated in the Declaration of Independence (life, liberty and property) are eternal and inviolable and precede the establishment of governments among men and make them possible, not the other way round. The denial of these rights to slaves in the South was based on a view of the sources of political authority antithetical to Lincoln. 

Departmental Elections in France: Unity Strengthens the Right 

07/04/2015. Eduardo Inclán es Maître en Histoire por la Universidad de Toulouse II-Le Mirail. On March 22 and 29, France held the elections for the 101 departmental councils in which the country is divided. These territorial bodies have undergone significant changes since the constitutional reform of 2011 and the new law of 2013, which changed their composition, method of election and powers, although the conservative majority of the Senate saved them from a disappearance sponsored by the regional reforms conducted by the socialists of François Hollande.

Israel after the Elections

18/03/2015. Rafael L. Bardají es Director de Política Internacional en FAES. That Israel is a democracy like any other can be seen by yesterday's elections: respondents lie and pollsters get it wrong, very wrong indeed. In one of the dirtiest campaigns in Israel’s history no survey predicted Benjamin Netanyahu would be the winner of the elections. Indeed, last night's exit polls offered a scenario of technical tie between the Likud, the right, and the so-called Zionist Union, the Labour Left. But this did not happen and Netanyahu has achieved the greatest of his victories, surpassing the 21 seats predicted and reaching 30. Herzog and Livni's left remains, as expected, in 24 seats. The centre has not collapsed and the United Arab List managed to become the third party with most seats, 14.

Libya Plunges into Chaos

18/03/2015. Carlos Echeverría Jesús es profesor de Relaciones Internacionales de la UNED. We should remain concerned about Libya for a long time yet, and this after four years of riots that began a process of violence which, far from abating, seems to be getting even worse. The revolts against Muammar Gaddafi were largely carried out by Islamists, exactly as he predicted. Many Westerners chose not to believe him, but today, although nobody wants to admit he was right, it appears that Libya has become a platform to export jihadi activism out of the country while this threat is quickly consuming the country from inside.

United States, Israel and Iran

17/03/2015. Rafael L. Bardají es Director de Política Internacional en FAES. Words have consequences. For that reason, the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu insisted against all odds to address the US Congress to discuss Iran. At home, the opposition accused him of electioneering; the American administration of tightening the bilateral relationship. But what he considered his duty as responsible for the survival of his country finally won and he delivered his speech.